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NFL

Derek Carr retired, then an avalanche of unanswered questions followed

  • Jeremy Fowler

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    senior NFL national reporter
      Jeremy Fowler is a senior national NFL writer for ESPN, covering the entire league including breaking news. Jeremy also contributes to SportsCenter both as a studio analyst and a sideline reporter covering for NFL games. He is an Orlando, Florida native who joined ESPN in 2014 after covering college football for CBSSports.com.
  • Katherine Terrell

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    ESPN Staff Writer
      Katherine Terrell came back to ESPN to cover the New Orleans Saints in the summer of 2022. She left the company in 2019 after joining in 2016 to cover the Cincinnati Bengals. Katherine is a graduate of LSU and a Baton Rouge, Louisiana, native, and she has covered the NFL since 2013.

May 16, 2025, 06:00 AM ET

METAIRIE, La. — Kellen Moore didn’t have the answers.

Less than three months after the New Orleans Saints named him head coach, Moore found himself confronting a barrage of news conference questions about a player he had never coached — never even met with in person — since taking the job. The Saints had announced quarterback Derek Carr’s surprise retirement three hours earlier, with the team saying in a statement that Carr experienced pain in his throwing shoulder in late March after his first significant throwing session of the offseason. The Saints said scans determined Carr had a torn right labrum and “significant degenerative changes to his rotator cuff.”

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The dual May 10 statement from Carr and the team left a lot of questions. Twenty-three of them, in fact, were posed to Moore on Saturday, including these:

When did Carr decide to retire? How did he get injured? Did you talk to Carr yourself about the retirement? Why did you say you were optimistic at league meetings that Carr would play if, according to your statement, you’d just found out Carr was injured? Why were the Saints searching for clarity on Carr’s condition if his communication was “really good” as you said?

Moore steered clear of direct responses, praised Carr, discussed “the process,” although he didn’t provide any real details on what the process was. Carr also hasn’t spoken directly on the matter since retiring — attempts to reach him for this story were unsuccessful — which hasn’t kept the questions from coming, and hasn’t prevented puzzled observers within the Saints organization and around the league from attempting to answer them.

Everyone concedes Carr is injured. Not everyone believes it’s the full story of why he retired.


Derek Carr threw 40 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions in two seasons with the Saints. Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

DAYS BEFORE FREE agency in early March, word began to spread within league circles that Carr — heading into the third season of a four-year, $150 million contract he signed with the Saints in 2023 — was open to playing for a new team.

A Carr representative spoke with at least two teams in the market for a quarterback about potential interest in the veteran, according to three league sources. While one of the sources classified the contact as indirect, both front offices were made aware that Carr might be looking for a new playing home.

A Saints source said no permission was given in writing for Carr to speak to other teams. A separate Saints source said the team heard whispers of Carr’s flirtation with other teams but didn’t consider it a major issue, in part because Carr, after 11 years in the league and playing through injuries, had earned the right to evaluate his future. Outside talks never reached a serious point, according to sources who have familiarity with the conversations.

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The challenge got steeper for first-year Saints coach Kellen Moore following Carr’s retirement. AP Photo/Gerald Herbert

An AFC executive believes Moore had every intention of casting his lot with Carr, at least in 2025.

“A lot of the guys that interviewed [for the New Orleans head coaching job] thought they would have Derek,” the exec said. “That was part of the appeal — the [Saints] offense and what it was when healthy.”

Though Moore expressed excitement about working with Carr and assumed he would be in the fold as the team’s top starting option for 2025, he took the job understanding that New Orleans likely was headed toward quarterback purgatory. The 2025 season was the last with guaranteed money on Carr’s contract, and after two years without a playoff berth, the Saints and Carr appeared poised for a breakup in 2026 barring undeniable chemistry between quarterback and coach.

“It was time to look at [quarterbacks in the draft] regardless,” a Saints personnel source said. “That’s where the value line was. Whether [Carr] played or not wouldn’t dictate whether we select somebody.”

Catch up on the NFL offseason

• Offseason dates | OTAs and minicamps
• 10 lingering questions | 2025 schedules
• Draft pick analysis | Kiper’s draft grades
• Free agency grades | Top remaining FAs
Draft | Free agency | Coaching hires

Amid that reality, Moore received “mixed signals” about Carr’s plans this offseason, according to multiple sources. When Carr didn’t show up for voluntary workouts, one player source noted how rare it was for an established QB1 to be absent for such a session. Drew Brees’ 2012 contract holdout is believed to be the last time it had happened with the Saints. Without offering specifics on the timing, Carr said during a guest sermon at Church LV in Las Vegas in April that he and his wife, Heather, had planned to fly to New Orleans earlier in the offseason. He said that Heather had been experiencing a health issue and had a miscarriage around the time of their scheduled trip.

Multiple team sources did not recall seeing Carr in the building this offseason, and one of those sources believes Carr’s correspondence with teammates was minimal. Offensive coaches were in communication with Carr, but one team source noted those talks were more about life than football schematics.

Given that paradigm, both parties might have understood that a separation was possible.

But nowhere in the talk of an impending split — nor in conversations Carr’s camp had with other teams — was any discussion of a potentially career-ending injury.


Derek Carr suffered an injury to his non-throwing hand late in a Dec. 8 win over the New York Giants. AP Photo/Adam Hunger

TO BE SURE, Carr’s injuries were a prevailing theme of the Saints’ misbegotten 2024 season. After going 9-8 and narrowly missing the playoffs in 2023, Carr was limited to 10 games in 2024. He left an eventual loss to the Chiefs on Oct. 7 because of an oblique injury. Second-year player “Apparently there were some reports out there about him being done for the season and all that. If he was done for the season, we would’ve put him on IR by now.”

What to know from the 2025 NFL draft

• See all 257 picks | Pick-by-pick analysis
• Kiper’s grades | Miller’s best 100 picks
• Yates’ favorite picks | Overreactions
• Kiper’s Day 1 winners | Day 2 winners
• Sanders to Browns | Hunter to Jaguars

Several team sources said the looming issue around Carr’s late-season availability was the left hand injury listed on the injury report. Carr worked to return to action, with one player source recalling that Carr was able to throw but “couldn’t take a snap.” A shoulder injury never appeared on the injury report during the 2024 season, and a team source said that Carr went through a routine physical at the end of the season like all the other players on the roster and that no issues were voiced about the shoulder.

This is why, according to player and team sources, questions and curiosity linger among some in the Saints building about the injury that inspired Carr’s retirement.

“What we thought was his injury going into [2025] looks a lot different now,” said a team source, referring to the hand injury. Those same sources acknowledged Carr has played through injuries throughout his 11-year career and very well could have accumulated issues related to his shoulder over time.

“He wasn’t in the mode of doing heavy throwing late in the year, and he tried to get ready, but the wrist just wasn’t there yet, so it’s possible he didn’t discover problems [in the shoulder] until he started to do more,” a Saints coaching source said about Carr’s late-season process.

Carr (with then-Saints coach Dennis Allen, owner Gayle Benson and GM Mickey Loomis) went 14-13 in two seasons as New Orleans’ starter. Stephen Lew/USA TODAY Sports

When exactly the labrum injury occurred is not clear, nor is the timeline for when Carr reported pain in his throwing shoulder to the Saints. While multiple team sources said they learned about Carr’s injury around late March (the time when Carr reported the issue to the team, per the May 10 statement), a Saints coaching source said he first learned about the issue when an April 11 report surfaced on NFL Network that Carr had a shoulder injury that jeopardized his 2025 status.

Whenever the notification occurred, the team “got [the shoulder] looked at, found out what was going on” and hoped for the best, according to a high-ranking Saints source. “When he said pain, we’re not thinking retirement,” the source said. Carr attempted to rehab the injury but realized that functioning with it would be an arduous task, as outlined in the team’s statement Saturday. Multiple sources said that’s an important piece of the timeline between the March discovery of the injury and the May 10 announcement — both sides wanted to see how the injury would respond to rehab.

Still, the belief among two player sources and one league source is that Carr had been at least considering retirement well before the extent of the shoulder problem was apparent, even if Carr was simply taking stock of his own career mortality as the season concluded.

Then why gauge interest from other teams? One source with knowledge of the situation said Carr was simply considering his options at that point. Even if retirement was a consideration, it was hardly a solidified plan. And Carr would not have been clear on the extent of the shoulder issue in early March when he was evaluating his potential market.

Early look at the 2026 NFL draft

• Reid’s way-too-early mock draft
• Top prospects, QBs | Read more

Would a Carr retirement announcement in, say, February have prompted New Orleans to pursue a veteran on a high-priced contract such as Sam Darnold? One team source said such a move would have been tough at the time because of the $40 million in guarantees for Carr on the books in 2025. “I think the draft was always the most logical play,” the source said.

The Saints did heavy lifting on quarterbacks in the 2025 draft, and several league sources said they believe New Orleans spent significant time evaluating two in particular: Ole Miss’ Jaxson Dart and the team’s eventual choice, Louisville’s Tyler Shough.

Multiple rival teams wondered in the days leading up to the draft whether the Saints were a candidate to move up into the back end of the first round to select a quarterback. The New York Giants would do so, trading up to select Dart at No. 25. The Saints chose to remain patient, getting Shough at No. 40. Now the 25-year-old rookie might be their best option.


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0:45

Flashback: New Saints head coach Kellen Moore faced Derek Carr in college

Check out highlights from Kellen Moore and Boise State beating Derek Carr and Fresno State 57-7 back in 2011.

ONE DAY AFTER the season ended, Carr met the media. He addressed his contract, telling ESPN he would not take a pay cut but would be happy to restructure his contract to help the team. He discussed the details of his hand injury, saying he wouldn’t need surgery, but did not mention a shoulder problem.

“I’m probably still a little bit away from getting cleared from all of that stuff,” Carr said. “I did everything I could to try and be out there. I’m appreciative to the organization and Coach Rizz for giving me that chance. … It came down to, I just couldn’t hold a football. That’s kind of important to do.

“The No. 1 thing is that I have to get healthy. I’ve got to take care of myself and then, the rest after that, is really out of my hands.”

Whatever his deep-seated thoughts about retirement, Carr struck a positive tone about a future in New Orleans.

“I feel excited about being here because I feel like we finally, not only, the last 16, 17 games, played really well, but also my wife and I have been able to do what we do in the community. … I’m super passionate about this city, our fans, this organization.

“Hopefully over the last two years I’ve proven to everyone in this building that all I care about is winning and that’s what I want to do.”

Carr was already well on his way to $200 million in career earnings. He had played through various systems and coaching staffs. Moore would have represented his seventh head coach and eighth playcaller since entering the league in 2014. He has played through many injuries — including a serious one with the labrum that hadn’t even been known. Within that context, his retirement should have perhaps been unsurprising.

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0:30

Saints grab Tyler Shough with the 40th pick

The Saints select Louisville QB Tyler Shough with the 40th pick as the third quarterback off the board in the 2025 NFL draft.

As for a move to another team, Carr’s $30 million in guaranteed salary and $10 million roster bonus “certainly didn’t help” his attractiveness for a trade, according to a source from a team in the market for a quarterback. Money would have complicated any trade talks, had they intensified.

The Cleveland Browns decided to run it back with Joe Flacco while trading for Kenny Pickett and drafting Dillon Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders. The Titans, whose head coach Brian Callahan oversaw Carr’s quarterbacks room with the Raiders in 2018, selected Cam Ward with the No. 1 pick. Another potential suitor, the Giants, rebuilt their QB room with Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston and Dart.

Carr’s best and perhaps only chance to be a QB1 was in New Orleans, before the injury appeared to make it all a moot point.

The Saints and Carr had agreed to keep their discussions on his future private until at least after the draft as they sorted things out. “The fact there were not a lot of leaks was by mutual consent,” said a source familiar with their conversations, adding that Carr’s goal was for the process to go smoothly for both parties.

While a high-ranking team source wasn’t sure of the exact date when retirement became the only viable option, discussions on a contractual settlement took some time, of which the Saints didn’t have much as they laid the groundwork for their next rookie class in the days before the draft.

What the sides worked out: Carr would keep his $10 million roster bonus and the $28.5 million signing bonus received in 2023, and the Saints would get cap relief from the $30 million in 2025 salary that Carr would forfeit. Carr did not want to earn a bloated salary against the team’s cap with no intention or possibility of playing after surgery. “Integrity matters to him,” said a source who knows Carr well.

Carr was initially set to count $69 million against the salary cap next year, but his retirement benefits the Saints twofold: saving $30 million in cash and getting his salary off the books quicker. Had he remained on the team this season and been released in 2026, the Saints likely would have made him a post-June 1 cut to spread the cap hits into 2027.

An important piece of context is that general manager Mickey Loomis is 69 and has had his role for more than 20 years, a reality that has led some in the industry to express a belief that the organization is resistant to stark change. A more aggressive front office might have pushed the issue with Carr to find a swifter solution and made quarterback plans accordingly, an AFC executive said.

play

4:18

Saints release 2025 schedule with a rowdy news conference

Saints coach Kellen Moore is joined at the podium by comedian Rob Kazi to reveals the team’s schedule for the 2025 NFL season.

“They move slowly — that’s just the way they operate,” the exec said. “Which has worked for them for a while. But they could use a reboot. If they go that route, they will need to start trading off veteran pieces in training camp.”

One team source believes that the Saints at least considered scaling back the roster in an effort to rebuild two years ago but that Loomis wants to make one last run at a winner. The Saints retained a number of their older veterans, working out incentive-based contracts for players such as Cameron Jordan (age 35) and Tyrann Mathieu (33), whose contracts are set to void next season along with those of Taysom Hill (34) and Demario Davis (36).

And, to be sure, Loomis is used to winning. The Saints were a perennial contender with Sean Payton on the sideline and Brees under center in the mid-2000s.

“I think they see things as the NFC South is still very winnable and they are in a position to be underestimated now,” a veteran NFL personnel man said. “They would have to rely heavily on the run to be successful this year, in my opinion.”

Deepening the intrigue is a 2026 quarterback class considered much deeper than this year’s — one that could include Texas quarterback Arch Manning, whose grandfather, Archie, was the No. 2 pick by the Saints in 1971, the last year New Orleans used a first-round pick on a passer. That connection is not lost on many in league circles.

Whatever the future at the position holds, the series of events that brought the Saints to a pivot point in their QB continuum, with a new coach left to answer questions in a mid-May news conference about the unforeseen retirement of the team’s No. 1 quarterback, was not on the radar of many in the building.

“Is this what everybody anticipated? I don’t think so,” a team source said.

NFL

Sources: Niners, Purdy finalizing $265M contract

  • Nick WagonerMay 16, 2025, 05:05 PM ET

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      Nick Wagoner is an NFL reporter at ESPN. Nick has covered the San Francisco 49ers since 2016, having previously covered the St. Louis Rams for 12 years, including three years (2013 to 2015) at ESPN. In over a decade with the company, Nick has led ESPN’s coverage of the Niners’ 2019 and 2023 Super Bowl run, Colin Kaepernick’s protest, the Rams making Michael Sam the first openly gay player drafted to the NFL, Sam’s subsequent pursuit of a roster spot and the team’s relocation and stadium saga.

SANTA CLARA, Calif. — From the moment Brock Purdy stepped in as their starter in 2022, the San Francisco 49ers have told anyone who would listen that he is the quarterback of not only their present but also their future.

On Friday, the Niners put significant action behind those words as they agreed to a five-year, $265 million deal that includes $181 million in overall guaranteed money with Purdy, sources told ESPN’s Adam Schefter.

It’s a massive pay raise for Purdy, known as Mr. Irrelevant for being the last pick in the 2022 NFL draft.

He earned $2.6 million total over his first three NFL seasons, making him the NFL’s 76th-highest-paid quarterback over that span, according to Roster Management System. His new contract has an average salary of $53 million, meaning he will get paid more per week under his new deal ($2.9 million) than he did over the first three years of his career combined.

At the league meeting in Florida, general manager John Lynch made it clear that he believed a deal was in the offing.

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“I think we’re going to get the deal done,” Lynch said March 31. “That’s what I believe. We’ll just leave it at that.”

From there, Purdy reported for the start of the offseason program in April, a sign that things were trending toward a deal. The week of the NFL draft last month, Lynch said there were “substantive talks” that had things going in a “good direction.”

Finally, it all came together Friday.

Perhaps that should be no surprise, though, given the 49ers’ belief in Purdy. A few days after a disappointing 6-11 season that saw Purdy’s production dip from his Pro Bowl level in 2023, Lynch and coach Kyle Shanahan said they wanted the quarterback around for the long haul.

“Brock is the leader of our team,” Shanahan said Jan. 8. “I’ve loved these three years with Brock. I plan on being with Brock here the whole time I’m here. Brock’s been a stud. He’s a guy I’ve got a lot of confidence in just as a human, but it starts with what he’s done in the field these last two and a half years and [we’re] capable of winning a Super Bowl with him. We just almost did. And I know he is capable of getting the Niners a Super Bowl in the future.”

As the Niners cleaned out the locker room after the 2024 season, Purdy left no doubt that he wanted to stick around but also repeatedly pointed out his desire to get something done sooner than later.

In recent years, the 49ers have had drawn-out, more contentious discussions with the likes of defensive end Totals NFL Rank Yds per att 9.0 1st Pass yds 9,242 4th Pass TD 64 7th Total QBR 70.6 4th — ESPN Research

As it turned out, that’s exactly what the Niners and Purdy were able to do in a negotiation that more closely resembled the contract extension San Francisco worked out with quarterback

NFL

? Schedule overreactions: 49ers have it easy

  • Dan GrazianoMay 14, 2025, 08:40 PM ET

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      Dan Graziano is a senior NFL national reporter for ESPN, covering the entire league and breaking news. Dan also contributes to Get Up, NFL Live, SportsCenter, ESPN Radio, Sunday NFL Countdown and Fantasy Football Now. He is a New Jersey native who joined ESPN in 2011, and he is also the author of two published novels.

If we’re being honest, this whole week is an overreaction, right? We’ve known 2025 opponents for every NFL team since the end of the 2024 regular season. Wednesday night’s announcement of the full 2025 schedule — following a few days’ worth of individual-game reveals (mostly involving the Eagles) — is mainly noteworthy because it offers fans and reporters the chance to make a bunch of flight and hotel reservations.

But hey, it is fun. We sit here in the middle of May, with the NBA and NHL playoffs dominating sports coverage, feeling about as far from the NFL season as possible. So to see it start to take shape — to play the win-win-lose-win-lose-win game with your favorite team’s game-by-game schedule — is a good feeling for NFL fans. We want to treat it like a game week. And you know what that means …

That’s right. It’s schedule release overreactions! Let’s judge whether a few potential takeaways from the 2025 schedule are legitimate or irrational.

Note: To assess strength of schedule throughout these overreactions, we used the admittedly imperfect method of using opponent win-loss records from the previous season.

Jump to a potential overreaction on:
49ers’ very easy schedule
Giants’ very hard schedule
Lions’ road/outdoor schedule
Vikings’ international schedule
Cowboys’ second-half schedule

The 49ers will cruise back into the playoffs

Flip the calendar back a year and the 49ers were one of the strongest favorites to reach or even win the Super Bowl. They were on a three-year streak of advancing at least to the NFC Championship Game and had just lost the Super Bowl to the Chiefs in overtime. But a stunning rash of injuries — most notably to star running back Christian McCaffrey — sunk San Francisco’s 2024 season. The Niners finished 6-11 and in last place in the NFC West.

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This year, the 49ers project to have the league’s

Jaxson Dart will be the Giants’ starting quarterback by November

The Giants traded up to select Dart in the first round of this year’s draft because they believe he can be their franchise quarterback of the future. They also signed veterans Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston in free agency, giving them starting QB options in case they didn’t get one in the draft or the guy they did draft wasn’t ready to start right away. The Giants’ plan, as of now, is to start Wilson and give Dart as much time as he needs to get ready — the whole 2025 season, if need be. And the fact that the Giants have the hardest schedule in the NFL could be a big reason to let Dart have the whole season to learn behind the veterans.

Of course, the tough-looking schedule also could mean the Giants fall out of contention early and decide to get Dart some NFL game experience in a lower-pressure environment. The Giants have games at Washington, Dallas, New Orleans, Denver and Philadelphia in the first eight weeks of the season, and their three home games in that stretch are against the Chiefs, Chargers and Eagles.

Verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION

We all know this never works, right? Teams always say they want to give their rookie quarterback whatever time he needs, and they very often say they’re willing to sit him the entire season if needed. Think back to last season’s Patriots, who started Jacoby Brissett while rookie Drake Maye rode the bench to begin the campaign. But inevitably, once losses start piling up, the team decides it has to make a change. The Patriots won their opener but lost the next four games, and Maye was the starting QB in Week 6 (and for the rest of the season).

Literally the only time this rest-the-rookie-all-season plan has worked was with the 2017 Chiefs, who started 5-0 and stayed in first place all season behind Alex Smith while Patrick Mahomes sat on the bench. (And even then, Mahomes played with backups in the final game of the regular season.) The odds of the Giants starting 5-0 against the Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs, Chargers and Saints and staying in first place all season feel slim, at best.

play

1:57

Orlovsky: The Giants should lean on Russell Wilson early on

Dan Orlovsky chats with Pat McAfee about the Giants quarterbacks, and why they should be patient with Jaxson Dart.

All of the history around these situations tells us Dart will play at some point this season. Wilson hasn’t been a very good starting quarterback for the past four years. Winston is a stopgap guy at this point in his career. Dart is the Giants’ future, and unless their present is going to be a very pleasant surprise to a lot of people, they’re going to want to get that future going as soon as possible. It could be as early as Week 5 at New Orleans or after the Week 6 Thursday night game against the visiting Eagles or following the Week 8 contest in Philly.


The Lions’ two-year NFC North title streak will come to an end

After not winning their division since 1993, the Lions finished first with a 12-5 record in 2023 and repeated as NFC North champs at 15-2 last season. They’ve seen a lot of turnover on their coaching staff this offseason, with offensive coordinator Ben Johnson now the coach of the Bears and defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn the new coach of the Jets. But the roster remains extremely strong on paper, and getting star edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson back from his season-ending leg injury should only help.

It’s important to remember, though, that this division had three playoff teams last season and the Lions needed to beat Minnesota in the final game of the regular season to seal their second straight division title.

Verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION

Not to take anything at all away from the brilliant season that Dan Campbell’s bunch just had, but you might recall that 15 of the 18 games they played (including their playoff matchup) were indoors. Sure, they won all three of their outdoor games — at Green Bay in Week 9, at Chicago in Week 16 and at San Francisco in Week 17. But let’s not forget that Lions quarterback Jared Goff has a 51.4 career QBR and a 1.9 career TD/INT ratio in outdoor games versus a 61.7 QBR and a 3.2 TD/INT ratio in indoor games.

Why does this matter? Well, this season’s Lions schedule features seven outdoor games. In addition to their annual in-division trips to Green Bay and Chicago, the Lions play at Philadelphia, Washington, Kansas City, Baltimore and Cincinnati. And of Detroit’s nine road opponents, seven made the playoffs in 2024. The Lions’ road foes this season combined for a .667 win percentage in 2024, giving Detroit the toughest road strength of schedule by any team in the Super Bowl era.

Factor in the strength of the division, nearly half of their games being outdoors and having to play road matchups against five teams that went deeper than they did in the 2024 postseason, and the Lions’ path to a three-peat in the NFC North looks very daunting.


The Vikings got a raw deal with back-to-back games in Dublin and London

The Vikings will travel to play the Steelers in the first NFL game in Dublin in Week 4 then will face the Browns in London in Week 5. It is the first time a team will play consecutive NFL games in different countries outside of the United States.

Breaking News from Adam Schefter

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The arrangement likely will keep the Vikings away from home for 10 days, as they’ll surely stay overseas for the week between the two games rather than fly home and fly back. And in what shapes up as an incredibly competitive NFC North, it’s the kind of thing that could set a team back if it doesn’t handle it the right way.

Verdict: OVERREACTION

The Vikings are cool with this, guys. They knew about it well ahead of time. Coach Kevin O’Connell told London reporters that it was “kind of a joint decision” between the team and the NFL. And while it is historic to be playing games in consecutive weeks in two different foreign countries, it’s not like these countries are Australia and Finland. The flight from Dublin to London isn’t much longer than the flight from Minneapolis to Green Bay, which the Vikings make every year.

The past couple of years, the Jaguars have played consecutive weeks in London and stayed over in between. O’Connell and his staff are sure to use the 10 days away as a bonding experience for the team.

And as O’Connell pointed out the other day when the games were announced, the Vikings are technically the road team in both of these games. That means that while most NFC teams will play nine road games this season, the Vikings will play seven actual road matchups and two neutral-site games. The Vikings have never won at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, and they’ve won only one game in Cleveland since 1989. That’s two would-be outdoor road games in hostile places that can get cold and windy that the Vikings now don’t have to worry about this season. Minnesota is going to be just fine with this arrangement.


The Cowboys could have a very unhappy holiday season

Dallas has a Week 10 bye, which is just about the ideal time to have one. The Cowboys also come out of it to play on a Monday night (in Las Vegas). So, the Cowboys will have 13 days off before starting the second half of their season. They’d better rest up …

After the Raiders game, the Cowboys have a home matchup against the Eagles on short rest then a Thanksgiving Day game against the visiting Chiefs on even shorter rest. So after nearly two weeks without playing, they’ll have three games in 11 days, with two of those coming against last season’s Super Bowl teams. Then they’re at Detroit the following Thursday before home games against the Vikings and Chargers in Weeks 15 and 16. Dallas is then at Washington on Christmas Day on another Sunday-to-Thursday turnaround before finishing with a likely layup against the Giants in New Jersey.

Verdict: NOT AN OVERREACTION

I mean, even acknowledging the fact that all the same teams that were good last season aren’t sure to be good again this season, that is a rough stretch. Three short-week games in the final six weeks of the season is no team’s idea of a good time. All four of the Cowboys’ post-bye road games are in different time zones than the one they play in. And all four of their post-bye home games are against teams that made the playoffs last season.

If the Cowboys want to take their turn in the annual flip-flopping of the NFC East title between them and Philadelphia, they might have to build up a big pre-bye division lead.

NFL

NFL schedules are out! See all 32, plus our bold predictions and reactions

  • NFL NationMay 14, 2025, 09:25 PM ET

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      NFL Nation is made up of 32 team-specific reporters who cover the NFL year-round across ESPN.com, ESPN television shows, ESPN Radio, ESPN+ and social media platforms. It was established ahead of the 2013 season.

The 2025 NFL schedule was released Wednesday night.

Will quarterback Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles repeat as Super Bowl champions — and even become the first team in two decades to repeat as NFC East champs?

They will kick off the NFL season Thursday, Sept. 4, when they host the NFC East rival Dallas Cowboys. ESPN’s “Monday Night Football” opener is Sept. 8 and will feature the Minnesota Vikings at the Chicago Bears.

Based on strength of schedule, which is determined by opponents’ records in 2024, the New York Giants have the toughest schedule of the 2025 season and the San Francisco 49ers have the easiest.

The final regular-season games for the 2025 season will be played Jan. 4, 2026. The playoffs begin Jan. 10 and continue through Super Bowl LX on Feb. 8 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.

Here is a bold prediction for every team following the schedule release. Click on the links to see the full schedule and more analysis from NFL Nation.

Jump to a division:
NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West
AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West

NFC EAST

The Cowboys will end Kyler Murray’s dominance at AT&T Stadium. The Cardinals’ quarterback has not lost in Arlington, Texas, sporting an 8-0 record as a starting quarterback. Just two of those games have come in the NFL. He won five games while at Allen (Texas) High School, won a Big 12 championship game for Oklahoma and is 2-0 as the Cardinals’ starter. Only Dak Prescott and Tony Romo have more wins at AT&T Stadium. Read more from Todd Archer


The Giants will steal a win on the road in the first two weeks against a division rival. For most teams, that might not seem like much. But New York went 0-6 in the division last year and needs to get off to a strong start. The Giants have won their season opener just twice in the past 13 years, with their only two playoff seasons coming in years when they won in Week 1. Read more from Jordan Raanan


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The Eagles will have to fight out of a small hole at the beginning of the season. The Cowboys, Chiefs and Rams all have something to prove, with two of them — Kansas City and Los Angeles — losing to the Eagles last postseason. Philadelphia will be adjusting to a new offensive coordinator in Kevin Patullo following the departure of Kellen Moore this offseason, while the defense will be breaking in several new starters. That could equal a loss or two early on.

Washington will win three of its last four games to clinch a playoff spot. It will mark the first time since the 1991-92 seasons that the organization has made the playoffs in consecutive years. The Commanders will beat the Giants and Cowboys and split with the Eagles to follow up a 12-win first season under coach Dan Quinn. These wins will help Washington win double-digit games in back-to-back years for the first time since 1989-91. Read more from John Keim


NFC NORTH

Caleb Williams becomes Chicago’s first 4,000-yard passer by crossing the threshold against Green Bay in Week 16, two games fewer than it took Jared Goff in his first season with Ben Johnson calling plays. The Bears closed the 2024 season by snapping a 10-game losing streak with a win at Lambeau Field and will sweep the Packers for the first time since 2007. Read more from Courtney Cronin


The Lions will beat the defending champion Eagles on the road in Week 11. Prior to a plethora of key injuries, notably on defense, Detroit was arguably the most talented roster in the league. If the Lions are able to stay somewhat healthy, they can compete — and beat — any team in the league, including Philadelphia. After facing some tough opponents early on, Detroit will rise to the challenge against the Eagles. Read more from Eric Woodyard


The Packers will end up with more than the four prime-time games they currently have on the schedule. Flexible scheduling will move them into at least one more showcase game. The Week 16 game against the Bears could be on that Saturday afternoon or Saturday night. And it’s possible either or both of the final two games, against the Ravens and at the Vikings, could become a night game. Read more from Rob Demovsky


The Vikings will enter Week 17 needing to win their final two games in order to make the playoffs. That’s not because of the high-profile start to their season, but instead a five-game stretch that will include four road games between Weeks 12 and 16. Their only home game during that period is against the Commanders, and three of the road games — at Green Bay, Seattle and New York — are outdoors. Read more from Kevin Seifert


NFC SOUTH

The Falcons will sweep their most hated rivals, the Saints, for the first time since their Super Bowl season in 2016. Atlanta’s 2024 season went off track in Week 10, a brutal 20-17 loss in New Orleans that featured three field goals missed by Younghoe Koo. The Falcons could be better this season on both sides of the ball, while the Saints’ quarterback situation is in flux. Read more from Marc Raimondi


The Panthers will defeat Tampa Bay in Weeks 16 and 18 to win the NFC South with an 8-9 record. OK, so the string of losing seasons would not end at seven. But eight wins would be one more than any season since 2017 and look great compared to Carolina’s 5.1 average the past seven years. Read more from David Newton


The Saints will figure out how to get off on a good note, similar to last year, and extend their NFL-best home-opening win streak to seven games. But the positive momentum won’t last long, as a Week 2 game against the 49ers, who are also looking to bounce back from a difficult season, and lengthy road trips will stall their momentum. The first month won’t be easy for the Saints with a new head coach, an aging defense and no veteran quarterback to fall back on. Read more from Katherine Terrell


Wide receiver Mike Evans breaks Pro Football Hall of Famer Jerry Rice’s record for most consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with 12. The two are currently tied, with Evans overcoming a three-game absence last season because of a hamstring injury to get 1,000 yards on the final play of the regular season. Read more from Jenna Laine

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10:42

Jon Gruden unboxes the Bucs’ 2025 schedule

Former coach Jon Gruden unveils the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ schedule for the 2025 NFL season.


NFC WEST

The Cardinals will start the season 4-2, if not 5-1, and take early control of their playoff destiny. The new-look defense will click early and live up to the hype created by a deep draft and busy free agency. Read more from Josh Weinfuss


The Rams will win at least seven of their last 10 games after the bye to end the season. Los Angeles has gone on a run to make the playoffs each of the past two seasons with a similar stretch, although both were necessary given their 3-6 (2023) and 1-4 (2024) starts to the season. The schedule sets up for a strong end to the season in 2025, especially with few potential cold-weather games. Read more from Sarah Barshop


The 49ers open the season 4-0. There has been a lot of change in San Francisco over the offseason, but if the Niners can beat the Seahawks on the road in Week 1, they could jump into early playoff conversations. Having a full offseason of rest seems to have energized some of the team’s older stars, and many of them have been around for the offseason program. They’re also more likely to be healthy early in the year, which should lend itself to a hot start even as some of their younger players are getting their feet wet. Read more from Nick Wagoner


The Seahawks will go 4-1 during their tough November stretch. Three of those games are on the road, with two requiring cross-country flights, and three are against 2024 playoff teams. Winning four out of five would be an impressive feat, but consider that the stretch begins right after Seattle’s bye. Coach Mike Macdonald drew praise within Seahawks headquarters last year for the way he attacked the bye week, leading a turnaround that saw Seattle win four straight after the break. Read more from Brady Henderson


AFC EAST

The Bills will be undefeated entering the bye week. The opening game against the Ravens certainly will be a difficult one, but four of the first six being home games could go a long way. Three early games against the AFC East (Jets, Dolphins and Patriots) is earlier than usual, but the Bills are 24-6 against the division since 2020. Read more from Alaina Getzenberg


The Dolphins will finish with a winning record on the road for the first time since 2020. Under Mike McDaniel, Miami owns a 10-16 road record — but look at its opponents away from South Florida this season. Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Cleveland and Carolina are winnable games, as are at least two of the Dolphins’ division games on the road. This is the year McDaniel’s team turns things around away from home. Read more from Marcel Louis-Jacques


The Patriots are still in playoff contention coming out of the early-December bye. This assumes a clean bill of health for quarterback Drake Maye, but the overall schedule appears to be more forgiving than last year’s slate. Read more from Mike Reiss


The Jets will close the season with a flurry and win five out of their last six games, falling short of the playoffs but sparking hope for 2026. Only one of their final six opponents posted a winning record in 2024 (Bills). The Jets face 2023 MVP Lamar Jackson in Week 12 and 2024 MVP Josh Allen in Week 18. Between them, they play mostly teams in the same boat as they are — teams with new coaches and/or relatively inexperienced quarterbacks. Read more from Rich Cimini


AFC NORTH

The Ravens win three road games in three weeks for the first time in team history, sweeping their games at Miami (Week 9), Minnesota (Week 10) and Cleveland (Week 11). The Ravens have never been able to pull off the trifecta in their seven previous instances of three straight away games. And fun fact: Minnesota is one of the two places where John Harbaugh has yet to win. (Las Vegas is the other.) The good news for Baltimore is that Lamar Jackson’s 34-13 road record (.723) is second to only Patrick Mahomes (44-12) since he entered the league in 2018. Read more from Jamison Hensley


Cincinnati will win two out of three games in the “Killer B’s” portion of the schedule. The Bengals have historically matched up well against quarterback Josh Allen and the Bills. Having a few extra days of rest and then a home matchup against Baltimore should give the Bengals the edge to win at least two games in the three-game stint that features two Ravens contests and a road game in Buffalo. Read more from Ben Baby


The Browns will lose their first four road games before the bye week. It’s a tough slate featuring the Ravens, Lions, Steelers and a Patriots team that added a bevy of talent this offseason. Coming out of the bye with a matchup against the Jets at MetLife Stadium, Cleveland should be well rested and in position to start its second-half schedule on a strong note. Read more from Daniel Oyefusi


The Steelers will win their first international regular-season game. The Steelers haven’t played an international game since facing the Vikings in London in 2013, a game they lost 34-27. The Vikings are rolling with J.J. McCarthy, who though a 2024 first-round pick, is primed to be a first-year starter after recovering from a season-ending knee injury. The Steelers’ defense is notoriously lethal against rookie quarterbacks, and catching the Vikings early in the season could help them continue their reign of terror on young signal-callers. Read more from Brooke Pryor

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5:53

Sacking Sasquatch: Steelers 2025 schedule revealed

Keeanu Benton and Will Herbig travel to rural Pennsylvania on the hunt for Sasquatch and the Steelers’ NFL schedule reveal.


AFC SOUTH

The Texans will be fighting to clinch the division in Week 18. Each team in the AFC South has added talent, while the Texans have a first-place schedule. So, it’s not guaranteed the Texans will run away with the division like they did in 2024. There’s a decent chance their divisional competition improves enough to push the Texans to the brink. Read more from DJ Bien-Aime


Look for the Colts to come out of September with a 3-1 record. That would be a huge shift for a team that too often has complicated its late-season landscape with poor starts. Indianapolis has not managed to register a winning record through four games since 2020, which is also the last time it made the postseason. Read more from Stephen Holder


The Jaguars will head into their Chiefs matchup 4-0. After beating the Panthers in the season opener, they go on the road to upset a Bengals team that has struggled at the start of the last two seasons (2-5 record in September games). The home matchup against Houston will be the first time the teams have played since linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair ended Trevor Lawrence’s 2024 season with a questionable hit, and the Jaguars should be ready to roll in a revenge game. They will then go out to San Francisco and upset the 49ers, who let 17 free agents (including key starters) walk this offseason. Read more from Michael DiRocco


The Titans will win both of their back-to-back trips to the West Coast in October. The first win will come in a clash of No. 1 picks when Cam Ward leads the Titans over Kyler Murray’s Cardinals. The second one will be over the Raiders in Las Vegas. That will put the Titans at 3-3 heading into their matchup with New England in Week 7. Read more from Turron Davenport


AFC WEST

The Broncos defense will force at least three turnovers in the season opener. Tennessee is expected to start rookie quarterback Cam Ward, who was selected with the No. 1 pick of the 2025 draft, and his first regular-season start will be a rocky one. He’ll debut against a Denver defense that sports the league’s reigning defensive player of the year in Pat Surtain II, led the NFL in sacks in 2024 and made additions in free agency and early in the draft. Read more from Jeff Legwold


The Broncos will sweep the two-game season series from the Chiefs for the first time since 2014. Denver has been all the Chiefs could handle in the four games between the teams since Sean Payton was hired as Broncos coach. The Chiefs managed a two-game split by blocking a field goal on the last play of their Week 10 game in Kansas City. Denver broke a 16-game losing streak to the Chiefs in 2023 and routed the Chiefs 38-0 in Week 18 last season, albeit against an opponent that rested Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Chris Jones and other starters for the playoffs. Read more from Adam Teicher


Coach Pete Carroll has talked about getting the ball rolling early, and that’s what his team will do. The Raiders will go into the bye week with a 4-3 record. Las Vegas might have problems taking down the Chargers and Commanders in back-to-back weeks, but it wouldn’t be surprising if the Raiders win three in a row before facing the Chiefs at Arrowhead in Week 7. Read more from Ryan McFadden


The Chargers won’t win double-digit games. Of the Chargers’ 11 wins last season, just three came over teams with a winning record, with two wins over the Broncos and one over Cincinnati. L.A. benefited mightily from the NFL’s fifth-easiest schedule in 2024 and beat up on some of the league’s worst teams in Jim Harbaugh’s first season. With a much harder schedule and the Chargers roster not much improved from last season, it will be an uphill battle for this team to hit double-digit wins in 2025. Read more from Kris Rhim

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