The draw for the quarterfinals of this season’s Champions League is complete, and some mouthwatering matchups are on tap. Here’s an early breakdown of each contest, along with predicted outcomes.

Chelsea vs. Real Madrid

• First leg: April 6 at Stamford Bridge
• Second leg: April 12 at the Santiago Bernabeu

Other teams would’ve crumbled. A misfiring strikeforce, the dwindling contracts of three first-team defenders, and a League Cup final defeat to Liverpool had already shoved Chelsea under the microscope. Then, the Blues were tangled up in politics after owner Roman Abramovich’s links to Russian President Vladimir Putin forced the club on the market and led to restrictions including a block on ticket sales, frozen television and prize money, and a £20,000 limit on the team’s travel costs for away matches.

But Chelsea have won five straight matches amid the chaos – a run defined by Kai Havertz’s excellence in attack and the unwavering focus of players like Thiago Silva and Antonio Rudiger. If anything, the club’s predicament has created a siege mentality at Stamford Bridge.

“I want us to be the team nobody wants to play,” Tuchel said after Chelsea reached the quarterfinals.

Chelsea are only one half of the round’s standout tie, though. Real Madrid are empowered by their remarkable comeback victory against Paris Saint-Germain in the last 16 and will be desperate to exact revenge following last season’s semifinal elimination. Their fairly comfortable position atop La Liga could also work to their advantage, allowing Carlo Ancelotti to rest key players for their quarterfinal bouts with the Blues.

Prediction: Real Madrid advance on penalties

Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid

• First leg: April 5 at the Etihad Stadium
• Second leg: April 13 at the Wanda Metropolitano

Diego Simeone’s famously air-tight backline was punctured this season. Atletico Madrid have surrendered more goals than any other team in La Liga’s top eight, and their hopes of capturing back-to-back La Liga titles were shattered by a torrid winter which included defeats to Real Mallorca, Granada, and Levante.

But something seems to have clicked in recent weeks. There’s been a stark defensive improvement for Los Colchoneros with only three goals conceded over their last five league outings. And Tuesday’s Champions League vanquishing of Manchester United featured influential performances from Antoine Griezmann and Jan Oblak, and numerous shady tactics designed to disrupt the English side’s rhythm.

Simply put, it was classic Atleti.

This doubleheader presents a huge test for Manchester City. Pep Guardiola’s men were frustrated by resolute defending as recently as Monday’s 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace; Kyle Walker, often the last line of City’s resistance to counterattacks, will miss the first leg through suspension. In addition, imperious center-back Ruben Dias is sidelined with a thigh injury and isn’t expected to re-emerge until mid-April.

Prediction: Manchester City advance 3-2 on aggregate

Villarreal vs. Bayern Munich

• First leg: April 6 at the Estadio de la Ceramica
• Second leg: April 12 at the Allianz Arena

It isn’t exactly a crisis, but Bayern Munich are unsettled at the moment. For a club that always appears in full control, things are unusually turbulent in Bavaria. Rampant speculation surrounding star striker Robert Lewandowski’s future is becoming a distraction, results have dipped and allowed rivals Borussia Dortmund to get back into the Bundesliga title fight, and Julian Nagelsmann is dealing with a host of injuries and absences – particularly in defense – forcing disruptive lineup changes seemingly every week.

Against that backdrop, Bayern have to navigate an extremely tricky test against a Villarreal side flying high on the back of an emphatic triumph over Juventus in the previous round. Unai Emery masterminded the victory with excellent tactical tweaks and substitutions in the second half of the second leg, and now he’ll have almost three weeks to concoct a scheme to keep the Yellow Submarine’s run alive.

The task will be infinitely more difficult than stopping a deficient Juve, though. Sitting deep in a low block with nine players behind the ball worked wonders in Turin, but inviting that much pressure against Bayern is likely not a path to success.

For their aforementioned issues, this is still Bayern Munich, and sheer talent is hard to overlook; Bayern were ragged in the first leg against Red Bull Salzburg before smashing in seven goals at home in the return fixture. A stout Villarreal side, with Emery at the helm and plenty of seasoned veterans in the squad, certainly won’t crumble like the young Salzburg team did in the last 16, but another surprise here might be too much to ask.

Prediction: Bayern Munich advance 4-2 on aggregate

Benfica vs. Liverpool

• First leg: April 5 at the Estadio da Luz
• Second leg: April 13 at Anfield

Nelson Verissimo has instilled renewed hunger at Benfica since taking over for Jorge Jesus in December; that steely determination was on full display in the last-16 upset of Ajax. He’ll need every ounce of it to pull off what would easily be the most significant shock of the quarterfinals.

Liverpool are on an absolute tear right now.

The Reds have won 14 of their last 15 matches in all competitions, outscoring their opponents 32-5 over that stretch. The one loss – to Inter Milan in the previous round – ultimately wasn’t decisive, either. With nearly three weeks until the first leg in Lisbon, plenty can change, of course. But with Luis Diaz adding a fresh spark to the Liverpool attack and all the usual suspects still in tow, Benfica’s aging defensive duo of Jan Vertonghen and Nicolas Otamendi will find life significantly more difficult against the rapid, fluid Liverpool attack.

Even if superlative right-back Trent Alexander-Arnold hasn’t recovered from his hamstring injury in time for the quarterfinals, Liverpool have too much invention, creativity, and cutting edge for a dogged Benfica side to overcome.

Prediction: Liverpool advance 4-1 on aggregate

Manchester United were dumped from the Champions League round of 16 on Tuesday following a dispiriting 1-0 home defeat to Atletico Madrid.

Atletico Madrid may have tended to some old wounds with the 2-1 aggregate victory. Cristiano Ronaldo didn’t register a shot on target across both legs after notching 25 goals in 35 appearances against Atleti before this doubleheader.

Interim United boss Ralf Rangnick partnered Ronaldo with Jadon Sancho and Anthony Elanga in attack, and it was the trio’s latter member who came closest to scoring in the opening half. Elanga met Bruno Fernandes’ low cross from the right with his left foot, but the teenager’s resulting shot rebounded away from the goal after smashing ‘keeper Jan Oblak in the face.

Rangnick threw Marcus Rashford, Paul Pogba, Edinson Cavani, and Juan Mata into the fray as his team tried to restore parity in the second half, but they ultimately failed to overcome Renan Lodi’s first-half header for the visiting side.

Lodi, whose crossing tormented United in the first leg at the Wanda Metropolitano, was instead on the receiving end when he put Atleti ahead. Rodrigo De Paul slid the ball through a gap in the hosts’ defense, and Joao Felix ran onto it, expertly holding possession before releasing Antoine Griezmann with an intelligent backheel.

Griezmann’s first-time cross was immaculate as it flew over United’s backline toward the back post. Lodi was unmarked when he nodded past David De Gea, prompting a reaction from right-back Diogo Dalot that suggested he was unaware of the scorer’s presence.

At 1-0, Atleti reverted to type. Their defense hasn’t been as sturdy this term, but Diego Simeone’s side tightened up on this occasion, often shaping a back six out of possession and frustrating United with their physical style.

United’s best chance for an equalizer came from a set piece. Alex Telles sent a free-kick toward Raphael Varane, but Oblak’s instinctive stop kept the trophy-laden defender’s header out. With five saves over the whole match, Oblak furnished his reputation as one of the world’s finest at his position.

No one could accuse Rangnick of being overly conservative, as he sacrificed Fred and Harry Maguire, among others, for more attack-minded players in the second stanza. However, the clash of heads between Ronaldo and Maguire as they jostled under an aerial ball perhaps summarizes their fruitless evening.

And despite their plethora of attacking substitutions, United’s final shot was a long-distance strike from Dalot in the 82nd minute that went wide.

“It was hard in the second half and always interrupted. There was always somebody lying on the floor,” Rangnick said post-match, according to BBC Sport.

“I would also say some curious refereeing decisions. I wouldn’t say they were decisive, but at least he fell too often for those time-wasting antics, and four minutes at the end added on was a joke for me.”

The Champions League last 16 comes to an end this week. Below, we dissect the biggest talking points from Tuesday’s games in Europe’s premier club competition.

Atletico of old gate-crash Old Trafford

Diego Simeone knew his team had pulled off another great escape against Manchester United. As referee Slavko Vincic sounded the final whistle, Simeone bolted for the exit, sensing the shower of beer and insults that would come his way. Atletico Madrid did what they’ve done so well under the Argentinian manager: pester their way to a famous 1-0 victory away from home.

Simeone’s side followed a familiar recipe for success. Soaking up pressure with six at the back proved effective. Hitting on the counter worked like a charm. Atletico moved the ball quickly enough to evade United’s press, and when an opening presented itself, they took full advantage. Renan Lodi’s header gave Atletico a lead to defend, allowing them to retreat into an ultra-conservative 6-3-1 formation.

The selfless Antoine Griezmann relished the defensive battle, making a game-high four tackles while winning possession eight times. But it was his cross to Lodi that won Atletico the tie. Griezmann attacked until his team needed him to defend, leaving Joao Felix on his own after supplying the assist.

Then, Atletico summoned the dark arts. Goalkeeper Jan Oblak bought time here and there, going down under minimal contact. Marcos Llorente convinced the referee to halt play for a head injury when he went down clutching his leg. Substitutes interfered with United’s throw-ins. Though Atletico played a riskier game, United ended up committing more fouls. The choppiness suited Simeone’s side, disrupting the rhythm of a contest United couldn’t quite grasp.

“There was always somebody lying on the floor,” manager Ralf Rangnick said afterward.

United lacked collective spirit

United didn’t exactly play badly. They created chances and forced Oblak into some spectacular saves. They pressed well enough. But they didn’t exactly play well. The game just passed them by. It just kind of happened.

Individually, United lacked quality. Coming off the 59th hat-trick of his career, Cristiano Ronaldo failed to land a single shot on target. Jadon Sancho struggled to emerge from the shadows of Atletico’s right-sided defenders. The hosts made just six touches in the penalty area. It looked like there was a force field on the pitch.

That’s what happens when Atletico score first.

United’s defense didn’t pay enough attention to detail against an opponent that loves to exploit the finer margins of the game. They were too casual in the lead-up to Lodi’s goal, leaving space for Atletico to infiltrate. Harry Maguire charged out of position, and Raphael Varane scrambled as Felix made a run into the area. Alex Telles tucked inside to cover for his center-back, only to vacate the left flank. All alone, Griezmann whipped in the decisive cross, and Diogo Dalot lost Lodi at the far post.

United simply lacked the collective effort that propelled their counterparts to victory.

End of an era?

What does a world without both Lionel Messi and Ronaldo in the latter stages of the Champions League look like? That reality is starting to become the norm.

We caught a glimpse of it last season, when the pair were at Barcelona and Juventus, respectively. Moves to Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester United couldn’t prevent a pattern from emerging; both were eliminated in the round of 16 this campaign, too. Worse yet, the two superstars – who sit first and second in all-time Champions League scoring with a mammoth 265 goals between them – were totally ineffectual in their ousters.

Ronaldo was particularly invisible on Tuesday. Against Atletico Madrid, a team he has absolutely feasted on throughout his career, he didn’t muster a shot on target over 180 minutes across both legs.

Both players are still capable of sublime moments that hearken back to their peaks – see Ronaldo’s hat-trick from just this past weekend as a prime example – but the days of all-conquering performances in the Champions League certainly appear to be over. Time remains undefeated.

Discount Benfica at your own peril

The numbers all suggest that Ajax should have progressed easily. On the surface, the Dutch giants dominated their second-leg clash against unfancied Benfica on Tuesday. Ajax had 66% of the ball, fired off 16 shots to Benfica’s four, and conjured up 90 total attacks to the Portuguese visitors’ 20.

On that basis, Benfica’s 1-0 victory in Amsterdam, and subsequent 3-2 triumph on aggregate, seems harsh on Erik Ten Hag’s team. But in truth, the Eagles were full value for their surprising win, defending valiantly and limiting Ajax to just two shots on target. Both of those efforts came from outside the penalty area. Nicolas Otamendi and Jan Vertonghen were resolute all match, and Odisseas Vlachodimos was largely untested in goal.

Benfica, meanwhile, took their one chance, Darwin Nunez upstaging the prolific Sebastien Haller and scoring with his team’s lone shot on target to stun the Johan Cruyff Arena and much of the football world, which had expected the swashbuckling Eredivisie club to roll into the next round.

This will be viewed as a big missed opportunity for an Ajax team that had, until this point, been more impressive than the squad that was seconds away from reaching the final in 2019. But make no mistake, Benfica didn’t steal anything here. Dogged defending and clinical finishing made the difference.

Going into Friday’s quarterfinal and semifinal draw, the Portuguese side will be touted by almost everyone as the team that all the proverbial heavyweights want to be paired with. Fair enough. Avoiding the likes of Manchester City, Liverpool, and Bayern Munich would obviously be preferable.

But Benfica are no pushovers. Just ask Ajax.