It’s the decision and debate that won’t go away, now or anytime soon. What is Washington Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins worth? That’s the current debate. Certainly, after he signs, the question will be “Is Cousins really worth that?” But his leverage will lead to him getting paid quite a bit of money — yes, possibly more than a guy drafted No. 1 overall in the same 2012 class.
@john_keim any chance they pay Cousins Andrew Luck $$? They should, given that Carr will probably surpass that this summer. #jkmailbag
— Michael Collyer (@mcollyer71) February 10, 2017
John Keim: Yes, there’s a good chance he will get paid more than Andrew Luck, especially if the Redskins are intent on signing Cousins long term.
For background: Luck’s deal averages $24.594 million; he also received $87 million in guaranteed money. I don’t know that Cousins will receive that much in guaranteed money — it was $47 million fully guaranteed at the time of signing — but the average per year? If he signs a long-term deal, that number has to be in play for a couple of reasons.
Here’s the thing, as Joel Corry (former agent who now works for CBS Sports) told me this past week: Even if Cousins tops Luck, that doesn’t mean he’ll enter next season as the highest-paid quarterback. Actually, by then he could be fourth. There’s a chance Matt Ryan, Matthew Stafford and Derek Carr all get new deals. Each one would top Luck, too. Again, this isn’t about who’s better but rather about the position they play, a rising salary cap, timing and leverage.
If Cousins signs before those others, there’s no way he’ll end up as the highest-paid. If others sign before him, the price tag inches higher. You can make a strong case he shouldn’t be the highest-paid of this group no matter when he signs. But Cousins owns the leverage. The Redskins control whether or not he returns through the franchise tag.
Also, Cousins and his agent, Mike McCartney, are well aware of their leverage. They know if the Redskins don’t make a strong offer, Cousins will either be allowed to hit the open market or receive the franchise tag. The tag number is approximately $24 million. Any deal must average that amount to entice him to sign. Why? Because Cousins’ side also knows that if he’s tagged by the March 1 deadline, the 2018 tag would be $34.5 million, a figure no team would pay. So he’d be entering unrestricted free agency, where his deal could be a lot higher (assuming he plays well, of course).
At that point, if you’re Cousins, would you really re-sign with a team that tagged you twice? If they’re not sold, then that’s their right. But it’s why the price tag is a high one. And it’s why this decision won’t be an easy one for some in the organization. Yeah, that can lead to a little stress.
The Redskins can always tag Cousins, draft a quarterback high in the spring and develop him. Or hope that San Francisco, under new coach Kyle Shanahan, will make a strong trade offer. If Cousins hits the open market next month, he’d likely have multiple choices, starting with the 49ers. That, too, would drive the price.
You might think it’s crazy that Cousins could be paid more than Luck, the first pick in the 2012 draft, the same year Cousins went in the fourth round. But it’s not far-fetched.








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Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons exceeded expectations this season after entering the season with the NFL’s toughest schedule. Atlanta is primed to make another Super Bowl run in 2017. Read more.
Baltimore Ravens: The reasons the Ravens failed to make the playoffs were Joe Flacco’s inconsistency, a disappearing pass rush and a lack of killer instinct. Read more.
Buffalo Bills: Like in 2015, the Bills had the top-level talent to make a playoff run. However, injuries, a lack of depth and questionable coaching all eventually doomed the team. Read more.
Carolina Panthers: Carolina simply lost the swagger that enabled it to win close games during its Super Bowl run last season. It lost five of its first 11 games by a field goal or less. Read more.
Chicago Bears: The Bears regressed in Year 2 under coach John Fox. Nineteen players landed on injured reserve, but the club looked bad even when the roster was healthy. Read more.
Cincinnati Bengals: The Bengals underachieved in almost every way in 2016. Offensive line struggles, kicking problems and inconsistency on both sides doomed this team. Read more.
Cleveland Browns: One win avoids an “F,” but this season was one to forget. The Browns are no closer to finding a quarterback, and there are still many holes to fill on the roster. Read more.
Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys couldn’t get back to the Super Bowl, but they laid the foundation for years to come with the arrival of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. Will Tony Romo return in 2017? Read more.
Denver Broncos: This season never quite came together for the defending Super Bowl champs. Bottom line: This season’s Broncos never had the single-minded purpose of the 2015 team. Read more.
Detroit Lions: This is a very tough season to judge. The Lions weren’t expected to be in the playoff hunt, yet Detroit had a two-game division lead with three weeks left in the regular season. Read more.
Green Bay Packers: The Packers proved they’re contenders again. Two years after losing in the NFC title game in a heartbreaker at Seattle, they were back within an eyelash of the Super Bowl. Read more.
Houston Texans: The Texans did not live up to the high expectations they had entering the season, and they came up short again after losing to the Patriots. Read more.
Indianapolis Colts: Disappointing. Underachieving. Embarrassing. The list of adjectives can go on and on to describe the second straight season in which the Colts missed the playoffs. Read more.
Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jaguars set a franchise record for most consecutive losses in a single season (nine) and again finished in the AFC South cellar. Read more.
Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs couldn’t get any closer to the Super Bowl this season, but they did win the AFC West for the first time since 2010. They’ll face some difficult roster decisions this offseason. Read more.
Los Angeles Rams: The Rams’ first season back in L.A. began with promise, but the offense was dreadful from start to finish, which put too much pressure on a talented defense that lacked depth. Read more.
Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins exceeded everyone’s expectations this season by winning 10 games and advancing to the playoffs for the first time since 2008. Read more.
Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings started 5-0, and they had Super Bowl hopes. But injuries along an already-suspect offensive line proved to be too much to overcome. Read more.
New England Patriots: The bar has been raised high in New England under Bill Belichick, as seasons are defined by whether Super Bowl hopes were realized. And the 2016 season certainly qualifies as a success. Read more.
New Orleans Saints: In some ways, it was “Groundhog” season for the Saints, who finished 7-9 for the third straight year, squandering another 5,000 yards by Drew Brees and the NFL’s No. 1-ranked offense. Read more.
New York Giants: Despite falling short after losing to the Packers on the road in the wild-card round, this was a building-block season for the Giants. Read more.
New York Jets: Even by Jets’ standards, this was an all-time stinker. They expected a playoff run in Year 2 of the Bowles/Maccagnan regime, but they were doomed by a flawed roster. Read more.
Oakland Raiders: On one hand, improving from 3-13 to 7-9 to 12-4 should be cause for celebration. On the other, what had the makings of a magical season took a depressing detour in Week 15. Read more.
Philadelphia Eagles: Rookie Carson Wentz provided hope and a few highlights, but some fatal flaws ultimately did the Eagles in. It isn’t hard to see why the Eagles stumbled after starting the season 3-0. Read more.
Pittsburgh Steelers: A nine-game winning streak to spark a division title and AFC Championship Game appearance was a brilliant turnaround from a 4-5 start. Read more.
San Diego Chargers: Injuries and up-and-down play led to the Chargers’ last-place finish, but San Diego’s poor showing really boils down to coach Mike McCoy’s failings in the fourth quarter. Read more.
San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers followed a blueprint similar to 2015 by offering a promising blowout victory in Week 1, only to follow it up with a series of missteps while losing 13 straight games. Read more.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Bucs went from starting the season 1-3 and 3-5 to putting together an impressive five-game win streak that nearly culminated in a playoff berth. Read more.
Tennessee Titans: It’s going to be hard to forget the Christmas Eve debacle in Jacksonville, which caused the Titans to lose control of the division title after they’d done such good work to have a chance at it. Read more.
Washington Redskins: The Redskins blew a chance to make the postseason for a second consecutive season but instead will reflect on a handful of games, including the finale, that will haunt them all offseason. Read more.