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NFL

Aaron Rodgers at 39? Mike McCarthy sees a Tom Brady-like performance

INDIANAPOLIS — Tom Brady led the New England Patriots to the Super Bowl at age 39. Mike McCarthy believes Aaron Rodgers, 33, could do the same thing for the Green Bay Packers.

“I wouldn’t be surprised by it, with some good fortune,” McCarthy, the Packers’ coach, said during an interview at the NFL scouting combine. “As far as the conditioning and the level of conditioning from the guy, it’s off the charts.”

Brady played at an MVP-contending level — and more importantly at a championship level — last season, and McCarthy sees little that could prevent Rodgers from doing the same thing at that age.

“A lot goes into that; only the good Lord knows the answer to that,” McCarthy told. “But genetically, he definitely has those gifts.”

The way Packers coach Mike McCarthy sees it, Aaron Rodgers is nowhere close to the beginning of a decline at age 33. Al Tielemans via AP Images

It has been six years since the Packers’ most recent Super Bowl appearance, when Rodgers was the MVP in the win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. But they’ve been back in the NFC Championship Game twice since — the 2014 overtime loss at Seattle and the blowout loss at Atlanta this past season.

That loss further raised the ire of those who think the Packers have wasted Rodgers’ prime by not getting to a second Super Bowl. But given McCarthy’s belief that Rodgers could do what Brady has done at his age, it would indicate that the coach thinks his quarterback is nowhere close to the beginning of a decline.

“Players reach their prime at certain stages, and I think there’s no question Aaron’s in his prime right now,” McCarthy said. “You definitely want to maximize that, but he is one of 53 and plays the most important position and makes a huge impact. I get all that.”

Rodgers got off to a slow start last season that had people around the league diagnosing what was wrong with the two-time NFL MVP.

“You had the middle stretch from Game 4 through probably [Game] 8 where we had a lot of challenges, but he played pretty damn good in that stretch, too,” McCarthy said. “We were going through an adjustment. We were running the ball early, Jordy [Nelson] was just getting back into things, and then we lose Eddie [Lacy]. We had a lot of things that were in flux.

“And then his numbers just went through the roof.”

Rodgers’ play during the Packers’ eight-game winning streak leading up to the game against the Falcons included 21 touchdowns and just one interception. His passer rating of 117.9 was second to only NFL MVP Matt Ryan (121.6) during that stretch.

Rodgers has begun to think about his longevity. He said it was one of the reasons he changed his diet last offseason. (Remember when he gave up cheese?) McCarthy said Rodgers is in the best shape of his career and remains dedicated to maintaining that.

“I can’t remember the last time he hasn’t been at a workout in the offseason,” McCarthy said.

Rodgers has been dogged by a few nagging muscle injuries (hamstring and calf strains) but played — and played well — through them and otherwise has been healthy since the broken collarbone of 2013, which was the last time he missed a game.

It was after the NFC title game when Rodgers said he did not feel like his age would become a factor anytime soon.

“I don’t; I still feel pretty young,” Rodgers said at the time. “I think I have a number of years left in me [where] I can play at a high level.”

What followed was his “all-in” remark that most took as a plea for general manager Ted Thompson to be more active in building a championship team. Thompson, for his part, said he didn’t interpret it that way, and McCarthy said he didn’t think there was any “hidden message” in Rodgers’ comment.

“I think it’s a statement of leadership,” McCarthy said. “He’s definitely at the point in his career where he knows how hard it is to get these opportunities, and I’m getting longer in the tooth, too. You only get so many attempts at the plate, and we all want to maximize it and we all have a responsibility to the organization to maximize these opportunities.”

NFL

If Jimmy Garoppolo isn't available, Bears need to consider Brian Hoyer

Making an effort to re-sign veteran free agent Brian Hoyer, while not a blockbuster move, is arguably the Chicago Bears’ best short-term play at quarterback.

More importantly, Chicago faces major long-term quarterback questions after years of failing to draft Jay Cutler’s replacement. Uncovering a permanent solution this offseason, though, is challenging.

The best fix for the Bears looked to be Jimmy Garoppolo, but Wednesday’s report by ESPN NFL Insider Adam Schefter that New England is not interested in trading the Chicagoland native likely removes him from the equation. Some have questioned the Patriots’ genuineness in regard to Garoppolo, but every indication is that it will take a massive deal to pry the 25-year-old out of New England.

In Hoyer, the Bears get an experienced bridge quarterback who is familiar to the coaching staff. Hoyer played efficient football in Dowell Loggains’ offense last season — 134-of-200 passing for 1,445 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions — before suffering a fracture of his non-throwing arm at Green Bay on Oct. 20.

“Brian’s unique in that he makes very quick decisions,” Bears coach John Fox said at the NFL scouting combine. “He’s very smart, been in a lot of different systems. He’s been on the field a lot in the NFL. I thought he did a good job. … I think his touchdown total — he didn’t have an interception on the season, which for the number of passes he threw, I think probably ranked No. 1.”

After playing for Loggains in Cleveland and Chicago, Hoyer knows the offense, meaning a large portion of the offseason program won’t be devoted to teaching the starting quarterback the verbiage of the playbook. And Hoyer’s mastery of the offense should trickle down to the new arrivals on that side of the ball.

An eight-year NFL veteran, Hoyer, 31, is definitely serviceable. Before Chicago, Hoyer started nine games for the Houston Texans in 2015, passing for 2,606 yards, 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Hoyer experienced only moderate success in Cleveland, but no one has great success in Cleveland, right?

Financially, Hoyer makes sense. He signed for one year and $2 million last season, with $750,000 guaranteed. Hoyer will justifiably seek a substantial raise — being labeled a starting quarterback has perks — but he isn’t expected to break the bank.

Tampa’s Mike Glennon (6-foot-6) is another intriguing veteran, free-agent quarterback. At 27, Glennon is younger and might have more upside, but he’s expected to cost in the neighborhood of $12 million per season. That’s not luxurious for a first-string quarterback, but any team that signs Glennon is committing to him beyond 2017. There are examples of teams wavering on recently signed or extended quarterbacks (Tyrod Taylor and Brock Osweiler), but that’s bad for business. If the Bears have any doubts about Glennon’s ability to lead the franchise for the next three to five years (minimum), then a less risky investment such as Hoyer is better to bridge the gap.

NFL DraftRound 1: April 27, 8 p.m. ET
Rds. 2-3: April 28, 7 p.m. ET
Rds. 4-7: April 29, noon ET
Where: Philadelphia

NFL draft home page »

• 2017 NFL draft order »
• Mel Kiper Jr.: Mock 2.0 »
• Todd McShay’s Top 32
• McShay: Top prospects by position
• Todd McShay: Mock 2.0 »
• Mel Kiper Jr.’s Big Board »
• Mel Kiper Jr.: Top 10 by position »
• Pro day schedule for prospects »
• Underclassmen who have declared »
• NFL draft player rankings »

Remember, free-agent quarterbacks are “free” for a reason. True franchise quarterbacks hardly ever reach free agency.

Hoyer’s role is clearly defined, but he adds value in other areas, too.

Hoyer not only expressed enthusiasm for returning (with a chance to start) when he spoke to reporters the day after the season ended, he also signaled a willingness to mentor a young quarterback. Through all his NFL stops, Hoyer developed a reputation as a great teammate. There is every reason to believe Hoyer would be an excellent influence in the quarterbacks room, particularly in the scenario where he’s the starter to open 2017.

That’s important, because with the Bears set to pick near the top of each round in the upcoming draft, general manager Ryan Pace should invest in a rookie quarterback. That doesn’t mean Chicago reaches for a quarterback at No. 3 overall, but it’s reasonable to expect the Bears to address the position in Rounds 1-4. The problem with the 2017 quarterback draft class is that few, if any, of its members appear ready (on the surface) to start Week 1. There is always the chance Pace stumbles upon the next Dak Prescott, but history suggests that success is uncommon. If he does, great; that’s a problem the Bears would love to have.

But more likely, Hoyer starts while the rookie learns. Chicago could also re-sign Connor Shaw (restricted free agent) or Matt Barkley (unrestricted) to serve as the primary backup in case Hoyer gets hurt or struggles. The financial flexibility of re-signing Hoyer allows the Bears to be even more aggressive attacking other areas in free agency. Expect Chicago to be active when the new league year begins March 9. This is a pivotal year for Pace, and he has tons of cap space to play around with — even more so if Chicago is forced to wait to splurge on the right signal-caller.

The Bears would be thrilled to find their franchise quarterback in the next two months. But you can only work with what’s available. The Bears have to draft their way out of this quarterback mess, and that takes time.

NFL

Source: Falcons to place second-round tender on Taylor Gabriel

INDIANAPOLIS — The Atlanta Falcons plan to place a second-round tender worth $2.81 million on restricted free-agent wide receiver Taylor Gabriel, a source told ESPN.com on Friday.

General manager Thomas Dimitroff said Wednesday that the team planned to tender Gabriel but said the level was not yet determined. The second-round tender means another team would have to surrender a second-round draft pick to sign Gabriel away from the Falcons if an offer wasn’t matched.

Taylor Gabriel tied for the Falcons’ team lead in receiving touchdowns (six) in 2016 with Julio Jones. Dale Zanine/USA TODAY Sports

Placing the tender on Gabriel doesn’t preclude the Falcons from agreeing to a long-term deal with him. It just doesn’t have to occur immediately. Last offseason, the Falcons placed a second-round tender on restricted free-agent Ryan Schraeder. The starting right tackle went on to sign a five-year, $31.5 million extension in November, which included $12.5 million guaranteed.

Gabriel, who entered the league undrafted with Cleveland in 2014, was claimed off waivers from the Browns before the 2016 season. He made an immediate impact upon joining the Falcons, tying Julio Jones for the team lead with six touchdown receptions. Gabriel caught 35 passes for 579 yards, including a 76-yard touchdown. He also ran the ball four times for 51 yards and a touchdown.

There had been whispers about the possibility of former Falcons offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan, who also coached Gabriel in Cleveland, trying to bring Gabriel to San Francisco, where Shanahan is the new 49ers head coach. However, it’s highly unlikely the 49ers would surrender a second-round pick considering San Francisco owns the second pick in the round (34th overall).

Gabriel told ESPN.com that he wants to be a “Falcon forever” after developing a strong bond with his teammates and coaches. Without a new contract, he’ll make $2.81 million for 2017 after signing the tender.

NFL

Colin Kaepernick's numbers shouldn't add up for Cleveland

Colin Kaepernick will enter the quarterback free-agent waters today when he officially opts out of his contract in San Francisco.

That makes him an option for a Cleveland Browns team that needs to consider all options.

Kaepernick is 29, a former second-round pick out of Nevada. His career passer rating is 88.9 and Total QBR is 64.9.

His overall statistics put him in the middle of the pack among NFL quarterbacks in his career. His accuracy is not great, and he’s been sacked way too often — 171 times, which ranks 14th-highest during his NFL years.

Kaepernick made news by not standing for the national anthem in 2016. He was making a statement — one that many understandably did not like. Judge him by his numbers, though, and those add up to a player who is similar to current Browns QB Robert Griffin III.

Start with this: Since Kaepernick joined the NFL, his passer rating ranks one spot ahead of Griffin. Kaepernick is a better pocket passer. The concern is that he’s been sacked so many times, he might be become more skittish.

The Browns should do their due diligence on Colin Kaepernick, but he’s likely not their best option. Getty Images

Here’s a breakdown of some of his numbers:

  • Kaepernick’s completion percentage is 59.2, which isn’t good enough and ranks 28th overall since 2011. The average in that time is 63.6 percent.

  • He hasn’t been the same since he guided the 49ers to the Super Bowl in 2012 and the NFC Championship Game in 2013. He was sacked 52 times in 2014, the fourth-highest single-season total in his years in the league. He is one of only five quarterbacks to be sacked more than 50 times in a season since 2010, and he’s been sacked 116 times in 35 starts the last three seasons. How much of that should be attributed to the offensive line and how much to the quarterback is up for debate, but those numbers point to everyone being somewhat responsible. In a December game in Chicago, Kaepernick completed 1 of 5 passes for four yards and was sacked five times. He eventually was benched for Blaine Gabbert — and the 49ers had a net passing yard total of minus-21 yards at that point.

  • Kaepernick’s career passer rating of 88.9 ranks 17th (Griffin is just behind him at 88.4), and Kaepernick’s Total QBR ranks 13th.

  • He does not turn the ball over. Last season he had 16 touchdowns and four interceptions, and in his career he has 2.4 touchdowns for every interception — ninth-best in his time. His 1.77-percent interception rate is the 45th lowest in the league, and he’s never had a season when he’s thrown more interceptions than touchdowns.

  • His career yards per attempt is 7.25, 20th overall.

  • He is mobile, but he’s also a pocket passer. In his career he’s completed 62 percent from the pocket. His passer rating from the pocket is 90.3, and he has 51 touchdowns and 22 interceptions. His numbers from the pocket are actually better than they are out of the pocket, where he’s completed 50.2 percent with a rating of 83.0 (all according to ESPN Stats & Information).

  • ESPN Stats & Information reports that he had the best completion percentage in the league in the first half last season (73 percent), but the worst in the second half and overtime (48 percent). His total QBR in 2015 and ’16 was 52.0, fifth-worst in the league.

Kaepernick owned the 49ers job after the 2013 season. He had guided San Francisco to the playoffs and was 17-6 as a starter. He never seized the job in the three seasons since then. In his last three seasons, he has gone 11-24 as starter and was sacked 116 times. Kaepernick opted out of his deal, but the 49ers were ready to move on as well.

The Browns owe it to themselves to consider Kaepernick, but in his case the on-field numbers say enough.

They just don’t add up.

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“If you think about it, I've never held a job in my life. I went from being an NFL player to a coach to a broadcaster. I haven't worked a day in my life.”
-John Madden


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